Market Outlook
Soft US inflation spur bulls into NZDUSD. - Zeal Capital Market

Soft US inflation spur bulls into NZDUSD.

11-08-2022 02:32

“Lower inflation in US prompts major shift in sentiments across the board.”

Kiwi received higher demand overnight as investors shifts their focus following the release of US inflation data. According to Bureau of Labor Statistics, US inflation increased by 8.5%, slightly lower than forecast of 8.7%. The data prompts investors to flock away from safe havens, favoring risky assets such as the kiwi. On the other hand, New Zealand’s inflation rate came in lower than previous month’s reading with 3.07% vs 3.29%. However, we expect Reserve Bank of New Zealand to continue their policy tightening as planned.  

Quick recap on NZDUSD

Overall structure of the pair is skewed towards the downside while recent price action suggests possible shift.

NZDUSD Weekly Technical Analysis

Soft US inflation spur bulls into NZDUSD. - Zeal Capital Market

From weekly perspective, NZDUSD rose significantly after staging a rebound near the 0.6100 marl.

NZDUSD Daily Technical Analysis

Soft US inflation spur bulls into NZDUSD. - Zeal Capital Market

The pair has successfully breakoff downward trendline, while testing at the next hurdle of 0.6400.

Trading Idea

Soft US inflation spur bulls into NZDUSD. - Zeal Capital Market

ORDER: BUY STOP

ENTRY: 0.6430

STOP LOSS: 0.6360

Target 1: 0.6500

Target 2: 0.6555

ZFX Analyst’s Comment

Recent price action and closure above downward trendline suggests possible extension of bullishness ahead. However, we will require a confirmatory close above 0.6400 before entering the market.

Risk Warning: The above content is for reference only, and does not represent ZFX’s position. ZFX does not assume any form of loss caused by any trading operations carried out in accordance with this article. Please be firm in your thinking and do the corresponding risk control.

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