Market Outlook

XAUUSD thread water as US CPI data due later today.

12-01-2023 09:21

“US inflation data to determine overall market structure, which may bring significant volatility.”

XAUUSD stabilizes around 1880 as market participants wait for the release of US inflation data later today. The data, which will cement the expectation for less aggressive Fed may spur high volatility and a shift in all related assets. Such expectation was formed over the basis of lower-than-expected CPI reading in November, which reflects possible outcome from Fed’s aggressive tightening since last year.

Quick recap on XAUUSD

The bullion recovered substantially from lower end after forming a semi strong support at around 1620.

XAUUSD Weekly Technical Analysis

XAUUSD thread water as US CPI data due later today. - Zeal Capital Market

From weekly perspective, XAUUSD extended its gains after rebounding from lower levels and closing above the downward trendline.

XAUUSD Daily Technical Analysis

XAUUSD thread water as US CPI data due later today. - Zeal Capital Market

However, upside momentum from daily perspective shows slight reduction, signalling possible reversal soon. Likewise, such hypothesis is cemented by negative divergence which has formed on the indicator.

Trading Idea

XAUUSD thread water as US CPI data due later today. - Zeal Capital Market

ORDER: SELL STOP

ENTRY: 1860

STOP LOSS: 1890

Target 1: 1830

Target 2: 1800

ZFX Analyst’s Comment

While technical aspect supports for a short-term reversal, we would still have to wait for further confirmation from tonight’s inflation data. Thus, it is advisable to remain vigilant in the meantime.

Risk Warning: The above content is for reference only, and does not represent ZFX’s position. ZFX does not assume any form of loss caused by any trading operations carried out in accordance with this article. Please be firm in your thinking and do the corresponding risk control.

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